The Australian Dollar was firm this week with the release of favourable US housing and jobless claims data. This news eased investors’ fears of a second coming in the looming recession. With investor confidence high, faith was restored in the Aussie Dollar trading at a rate of 1.69 to the British pound late Thursday afternoon.
Further aiding to the Aussies strength against the British Pound was the International Monetary Funds (IMF) announcement that they had concerns regarding the United Kingdoms future debt situation. They stated that the UK debt to GBP ratio could rise to 90.6 percent in 2015.
With reinstated investor confidence the Aussie is back on a strengthening path. Because the Aussie is a carry trade currency, when investor sentiment is high and they have a high tolerance to risk there will be strong buying pressure on the Australian currency thus causing it to stand firmer against all major currencies.
John Kiriakopoulos,the head of foreign exchange strategy in Sydneyat National Australian Bank Ltd, said “all eyes will on tonight’s US payroll report, which serves as a bellwether in the health of the economy and usually produces a fair degree of currency volatility”.
Expectations regarding the Australian reserve banks decision regarding the interest rate have been revised. Most economists are now expecting that the Reserve bank will hold rates steady at 4.5 percent on 7 September 2010.
The week ahead isloaded with uncertainty and speculation about where the currency is heading. If the current trend continues we should see further dollar strength continuing into next week.
AUD/ GBP: 0.593
AUD / EUR 0.711
AUD / USD: 0.917
AUD / JPY: 77.379
Exchange rates as of 09:48, 06September 2010
Composed by Paul Gerber
:: Note: The above exchange rates are based on"interbank" rates.
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